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Ray Dalio says in a LinkedIn blog post he is growing more pessimistic over the trade dispute between the U.S. and China.
A breakdown in the relationship between dollar weakness and Asian central bank intervention poses a risk to Treasuries, stocks and all risky assets, according to Deutsche Bank AG.
"The coming global monetary reset has the US dollar firmly in the crosshairs."
R-star (Natural Rate of Interest) Declines To 0.45% While OIS 3Yfwd-2Yfwd Spread Falls To Near 0. What does the Treasury curve tell us recessions? The Treasury 10Y-2Y curve slope starts falling towards negative territory (red line) which means "inversion."  The curve inverts shortly before a recession. The UST 10Y-2Y curve is at +50- basis points, so there is "room to move."  We have been watching the 1-month LIBOR rate rising since…
"In the next recession, I would expect the P/E to bottom at about seven times, a lower low with earnings about 30% lower because of the recession. That would put the S&P lower than the 666 low of the previous crash, versus 2671 Thursday afternoon."
    Chapter 11 Bankruptcies Spike 63% from Year Ago
Apr 9, 2018 - 13:10:04 PDT
Highest level since April 2011. Not just the Brick & Mortar Meltdown anymore.
"A major new silver bull market looks imminent that is expected to kick off with a dramatic spike, due to a wave of panic short covering."
Gold provides market-crushing returns when inflationary pressure saps other markets.
"Morally bad and economically disastrous, risking a new explosion in instability, corruption, and poverty.”
When silver's key low valuation metric meets extreme contrarian speculative sentiment.
Gerald explains how gold gets from here to $1450, then to $2000 and beyond. Here's the details...
President Donald Trump’s “America First” policy means the dollar will have to weaken, according to Deutsche Bank AG.
Kuroda recently said the board would be debating and considering how to exit from its stimulus program in the fiscal year starting next April
The Venezuelan debt crisis could be on the verge of a new milestone as a $650 million bond matures Tuesday with little hope it’ll get paid.
The European Central Bank is considering a new policy tool that would allow it to inject cash into banks that are being rescued from the threat of insolvency, tackling a gap in rules for dealing with troubled lenders.
    Dr. Ron Paul on Debt and Deficits
Apr 9, 2018 - 09:24:56 PDT
Fmr. Congressman (R) Texas Dr. Ron Paul and CNBC's Rick Santelli discuss government spending, the Federal Reserve and trade.
(Q1 Auto Registrations YoY Down To -12.2%, Lowest Non-Recession Reading Since 1989)
    China downgrades US Treasuries
Apr 9, 2018 - 09:06:27 PDT
Western and eastern views of US Treasuries are increasingly at odds. China downgraded Treasuries to BBB+, with a negative outlook, in early 2018, amid concern over the US's ability to service its debt. US creditors looking for real value should buy real assets anywhere in the world for dollars, suggests Herbert Poenisch.
Last year's aggressive tax cuts are at the heart of a worsening budget situation that will see deficits surge in the years ahead, according to an op-ed by former Fed Chair Janet Yellen and others.
    Nomi Prins: The Collusion of Global Central Banks
Apr 9, 2018 - 07:45:25 PDT
G7 Central Banks Colluding Daily to Manage (Rig) Markets?