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In this insightful discussion, Alan Hibbard of GoldSilver.com and Kurt Nelson of SummerHaven Investment Management share why 2025 might be a pivotal
A last-minute intervention by Donald Trump and Elon Musk has upended Congressional efforts to avoid a government shutdown. Using social media, they rallied opposition to a bipartisan spending deal, forcing House Speaker Mike Johnson to reconsider the proposal. The episode highlights Musk's growing political influence and previews potential challenges for the incoming Trump administration.
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points to a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, marking its third consecutive rate reduction in 2024. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a more cautious approach to future cuts, indicating fewer reductions in 2025. This announcement led to a market reaction, with stock prices falling and Treasury yields surging. The Fed's decision reflects its ongoing efforts to balance economic growth with inflation control.
    Gold's Tug-of-War: Fed Policy vs. Economic Uncertainty
Dec 19, 2024 - 10:15:40 EST
Gold prices edged higher Thursday, recovering from recent lows as traders reassessed the Federal Reserve's latest policy stance. The precious metal's rebound comes amid a complex economic landscape, with investors balancing the Fed's hawkish signals against ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and upcoming U.S. economic indicators.
The Federal Reserve has entered a new phase, with Chair Jerome Powell signaling a renewed focus on inflation despite recent rate cuts. After lowering rates by 1 percentage point, the Fed now aims to move cautiously, citing core inflation still above the 2% target. Policymakers have adjusted their rate projections upward for 2025, indicating a more hawkish stance than previously anticipated.
This is a MUST-SEE Video for precious metals investors who are now experiencing some of the worst sentiment in years.  I was on the phone this week talking to people in the industry, and the word out there is many metals investors are wondering if they bought the right asset...
    UBS Bullish on Gold in 2025
Dec 18, 2024 - 10:43:34 EST
UBS forecasts gold to reach $2,900/oz by the end of 2025, driven by continued central bank accumulation, increased demand for portfolio hedges, and expected lower interest rates. Despite recent price fluctuations, gold has outperformed the S&P 500 this year, and UBS maintains a bullish outlook due to geopolitical uncertainties, potential US dollar weakness, and the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cuts.
The Federal Reserve is set to lower interest rates for the third consecutive time, with a 25-basis point cut expected on December 18. This reduction would bring the federal funds rate to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%, marking a full percentage point decrease since September. However, economists anticipate a slower pace of easing in 2025 due to persistent inflation and economic resilience.
Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting is anticipated to deliver a "hawkish cut," combining a 0.25% rate reduction with a more cautious stance on future cuts. Factors influencing this outlook include above-target inflation, stronger-than-expected economic growth, and uncertainties surrounding President-elect Trump's fiscal policies. The Fed's updated projections and Chair Powell's comments will be closely scrutinized for insights into the pace of future rate cuts.
    Fed's 2025 Roadmap Keeps Gold Market on Edge
Dec 18, 2024 - 10:25:38 EST
Gold traded near $2,648 per ounce ahead of the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting of 2024. Markets expect another rate cut, but uncertainty surrounds the pace and number of cuts in 2025. Traders are keenly awaiting the Fed's economic projections and policy statement for insights into future monetary policy, particularly in light of potential inflationary policies from the incoming Trump administration.
    Gold Holds Steady as Markets Await Fed's 2025 Outlook
Dec 18, 2024 - 10:08:01 EST
Gold prices remained stable on Wednesday as investors cautiously awaited the Federal Reserve's policy decision and 2025 economic projections. Spot gold dipped slightly to $2,643.79 per ounce, with markets anticipating potential interest rate cuts in the coming year. The Fed's guidance on future rate adjustments will be crucial for gold's trajectory, as lower rates typically boost the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.
Join Mike Maloney and Alan as they uncover the insane undervaluation of silver and what it means for your portfolio.
Retail sales in November exceeded Wall Street forecasts, rising 0.7% compared to the anticipated 0.6%. The increase was primarily fueled by a 2.4% jump in motor vehicle sales and a 1.8% boost in online purchases, reflecting continued consumer resilience.
    Partisan Divide Deepens on Economic Outlook for 2025
Dec 17, 2024 - 10:14:06 EST
A new AP-NORC poll reveals a stark partisan divide in economic outlook as 2024 ends. Despite positive economic indicators, Democrats' optimism has plummeted following Trump's election victory. Conversely, Republicans, while critical of the current economy, express hope for 2025 under Trump's leadership. This shift highlights how political affiliation increasingly influences economic perceptions, potentially challenging Trump's ability to translate economic policies into political success.
    Gold Prices Waver as Fed Rate Cut Looms
Dec 17, 2024 - 10:10:18 EST
Gold prices edged lower on Tuesday as investors exercised caution before a series of central bank meetings this week, with the Federal Reserve taking center stage. Spot gold fell 0.5% to $2,639.56 an ounce, while gold futures for February delivery dropped 0.6% to $2,653.81 an ounce. The precious metal has been trading between $2,600 and $2,700 as traders await rate decisions from the Fed, Bank of Japan, and Bank of England.
    Gold Slips as Fed Signals Caution on 2025 Rate Cuts
Dec 17, 2024 - 10:07:16 EST
Gold prices fell 0.6% to $2,636.89 per ounce as a stronger U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields weighed on the market. Investors are focused on the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy meeting, where a 25 basis-point rate cut is expected. However, cautious sentiment surrounds the Fed’s projections for 2025, with expectations of a slower pace of rate cuts amid inflation concerns and economic resilience.
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    PBOC Reignites Gold Purchases Amid Trump's Comeback
Dec 16, 2024 - 10:32:52 EST
China's central bank has restarted gold purchases after a six-month hiatus, adding 160,000 ounces to its reserves in November. This move coincides with Donald Trump's re-election and suggests China is preparing for potential trade tensions. The People's Bank of China now holds 72.96 million ounces of gold, reflecting its strategy to diversify reserves amid rising U.S.-China tensions.
Despite expectations of a structurally low volatility environment in 2025, analysts caution investors about the possibility of frequent market disruptions. Factors like uncertain US tariff policies, geopolitical strains, and funding market stress could trigger volatility spikes. While the VIX is projected to remain relatively stable, experts suggest that macroeconomic indicators point to potentially higher volatility levels, especially in Asian markets.
Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of $106,533 on Monday, December 16, 2024, driven by President-elect Donald Trump's proposal for a national cryptocurrency reserve. The surge extends Bitcoin's year-to-date gain to 192%, with the total cryptocurrency market value reaching $3.8 trillion. Trump's pivot towards crypto-friendly policies has energized markets, with his plans to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve comparable to the nation's oil stockpile.
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