Precious metals news

If there is one chart you need to see, it is the Copper chart, especially when you compare it to the broader markets and silver.  While the notion that the Green Energy transition would push the copper price to new highs, we are seeing the exact opposite... WHY...

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Federal Reserve officials are signaling a likely interest rate cut in September, with Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker suggesting a 25 basis point reduction as a sensible starting point. This comes after Fed Chair Jerome Powell's remarks at Jackson Hole, indicating that "the time has come for policy to adjust." While open to larger cuts if economic conditions warrant, Harker and other officials, including former Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, favor a measured approach. The market is increasingly pricing in the possibility of a more significant 50 basis point cut, though Fed officials seem inclined towards a more cautious initial move.

The recent surge in gold prices to record highs reflects deep-seated global concerns about economic stability, inflation, and geopolitical tensions. This trend highlights several key factors driving the gold market. Central banks, particularly those of China, Russia, and other countries seeking to reduce reliance on the US dollar, have significantly increased their gold purchases. This diversification strategy aims to hedge against economic uncertainties and potential sanctions.Investors anticipate potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts later this year, making gold more attractive compared to income-generating assets like bonds. The expectation of rate cuts is a primary driver of bullish sentiment towards gold. Despite moderating inflation in some regions, persistent worries about future price increases continue to support gold prices. Gold is traditionally viewed as a hedge against inflation, maintaining its value during periods of rising prices.

Gold prices rose 1% on Friday as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled a likely interest rate cut in September. Powell's comments that "the time has come" to adjust monetary policy caused the dollar and Treasury yields to decline, making gold more attractive to investors. The precious metal's value increased to $2,508.25 per ounce, with analysts expecting further gains ahead of the September Fed meeting and the release of the updated dot plot indicating potential future rate cuts.

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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium has set the stage for potential interest rate cuts in the near future. Powell expressed growing confidence that inflation is approaching the Fed's 2% target and acknowledged that further cooling in the job market would be unwelcome. He emphasized that the Fed is prepared to adjust its policy stance, with the timing and pace of rate cuts dependent on incoming economic data.

The results are now in, and the Top Primary Silver Miners' cost of production hit a new record high in Q2 2024.  Even the largest silver mining company in the world saw its costs increase significantly.  This means we have a new higher floor in the silver price...

Citi analysts predict a significant shift in gold ETF flows as the key driver for higher gold prices in 2025. After years of outflows, they expect a reversal, with gold ETFs contributing a net demand of 275 tonnes by 2025, compared to net selling of 250 tonnes in 2023. This change, along with factors like potential Fed rate cuts and increased recession risks, could drive gold prices to $3,000 per ounce by mid-2025. The projected increase in ETF demand share of gold mine supply from 1% in 2024 to 7-7.5% by 2025 signals a substantial change in market dynamics, potentially leading to a new gold bull market.

Gold prices have reached record highs in August 2024, surpassing $2,500, yet UBS analysts believe the market is not overvalued. They cite favorable macroeconomic factors, including dovish Fed expectations, lower real rates, and a weaker US dollar, as driving forces behind gold's ascent. Despite the price surge, market positioning indicators suggest room for further growth, with net long positions on Comex below historical highs and sustained inflows into gold ETFs. UBS also notes the reestablishment of gold's negative correlation with US real interest rates and its dual role as both a safe haven and a correlated asset with risk markets, supporting their positive outlook for gold's continued strength.

The Federal Reserve's July meeting minutes reveal that most officials favor a rate cut in September if inflation continues to cool. With inflation falling from its 2022 peak of 7.1% to 2.5%, policymakers are considering easing monetary policy. While the benchmark rate remains at a 23-year high of 5.3%, market expectations and economic indicators suggest a potential rate cut is on the horizon. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech at Jackson Hole is anticipated to provide further insights into the central bank's stance on inflation, rate cuts, and economic outlook. The Fed faces the challenge of balancing inflation control with concerns about labor market health and potential political implications of rate decisions near the election.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium is highly anticipated as markets and economic stakeholders seek clues about potential interest rate cuts. With inflation cooling and concerns shifting towards the labor market's health, Powell is expected to signal the Fed's increasing confidence in reaching its 2% inflation target while potentially hinting at the timing and extent of future rate reductions. The speech comes at a crucial juncture, as the Fed balances the risks of inflation with potential economic slowdown, making it a pivotal moment for monetary policy direction.

Gold prices remain bullish, trading above $2,500, as weaker U.S. yields and a declining U.S. dollar support its safe-haven status. Recent downward revisions in Nonfarm Payrolls data have raised concerns about a weakening U.S. labor market, potentially influencing Federal Reserve rate decisions. The market anticipates possible rate cuts, with attention now on upcoming economic indicators and Fed Chairman Powell's speech at Jackson Hole. Gold's consolidation near resistance levels suggests potential for further gains, reflecting its ongoing sensitivity to economic indicators and monetary policy expectations.

Canadian stock futures remained flat on Thursday as declining gold prices offset optimism surrounding potential U.S. interest rate cuts in September. Investors are closely watching materials and energy sectors, while anticipating Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium for insights into future monetary policy. The market is balancing various factors, including recent record highs in the S&P/TSX composite index, upcoming economic data, and bank earnings reports.

Gold prices have reached an all-time high, closing above $2,514 per Troy ounce on Tuesday. This surge is attributed to several factors, including a weaker U.S. dollar, expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, strong demand from central banks, and global economic and geopolitical uncertainties. While some view gold as a safe haven investment, others caution about its volatility and potential risks. Investors are advised to carefully consider their options and be aware of market dynamics before making decisions.

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The Federal Reserve's July meeting minutes reveal that several officials saw a case for cutting interest rates, with the majority expecting a rate cut in September if economic data aligns with expectations. This shift in sentiment reflects growing confidence in inflation progress and increased concerns about employment risks. The minutes highlight a more balanced view of risks to the Fed's dual mandate, suggesting that policymakers are preparing for potential rate cuts while closely monitoring economic indicators. This development comes amid recent data showing slowing job growth and easing inflation, which could support the case for monetary policy easing in the near future.

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has revised its employment figures, revealing that as of March 2024, there were 818,000 fewer jobs than initially reported. This significant downward adjustment suggests that the labor market may have been cooling earlier than previously thought. The revision primarily affected the professional and business services sector, as well as leisure and hospitality. Despite the adjustment, economists caution against overinterpreting the data, as it remains backward-looking. However, this revision, combined with recent weak job reports and rising unemployment rates, has led some to question whether the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy is too restrictive. The data comes at a crucial time for labor market analysis and may influence future economic decisions.

Zimbabwe has introduced a new gold-backed currency called ZiG (Zimbabwe Gold) to replace its devalued dollar and stabilize its economy. Despite government efforts to promote the ZiG through various means, including music and public campaigns, it faces public mistrust and devaluation on the black market. The government is taking strict measures against currency dealers and businesses to support the ZiG, while also reporting increased usage in transactions. However, the U.S. dollar remains dominant in the country, with the government aiming to phase it out in favor of the ZiG by 2026.

Amidst Venezuela's severe economic crisis, many citizens have turned to playing the online game RuneScape as a means of survival. By "gold farming" - accumulating in-game currency to sell for real money - players can earn significantly more than the country's minimum wage. This practice has become so widespread that it's considered a mainstream way to make money in Venezuela. Many players use their earnings to support their families or even fund their escape from the country. While gold farming violates the game's rules, for Venezuelans facing extreme poverty and hyperinflation, it has become a crucial lifeline, allowing them to earn U.S. dollars or cryptocurrencies that retain value unlike the Venezuelan bolivar.