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    Stephen S. Roach: Japan Then, China Now
May 28, 2019 - 08:43:10 PDT
Back in the 1980s, Japan was portrayed as the greatest economic threat to the United States, and allegations of intellectual property theft were only part of Americans' vilification. Thirty years later, Americans have made China the villain, when, just like three decades ago, they should be looking squarely in the mirror.
    Pain Is Inevitable; But Suffering Is Optional
May 28, 2019 - 08:32:52 PDT
I'm struck by how relevant the above advice is to investors right now. It's becoming increasingly clear that the end of the ten-year bull market has arrived.
Buybacks have gotten a bad rap from both Republicans and Democrats. But stocks would be trading at a massive discount without them.
Key moving averages are in play, and considering how weak gold is right now, some gold stocks are showing respectable action in the charts...
    Yield Curve Flashing Biggest Recession Signal Yet
May 28, 2019 - 07:59:24 PDT
Shilling Thinks It Started!. Treasury yields have plunged at the mid to long end of the yield curve producing biggest recession warning yet.
Imagine entering a store, picking up a few items, and then exiting the store without going through a checkout counter.
    Time to Worry About Yield Curve Inversions?
May 28, 2019 - 07:23:29 PDT
Trader expectations shifted last week. What causes a yield curve inversion, and how long is the runway before a downturn?
"...despite weak retail sales in April, these high levels of confidence suggest no significant pullback in consumer spending in the months ahead."
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller 20-city index rose a seasonally adjusted 0.1% in March, compared to February, and was 2.7% higher compared to a year ago. That was the slowest pace of annual growth since August 2012.
    A Long-Term Look at Inflation
May 28, 2019 - 07:07:41 PDT
The Consumer Price Index for Urban Consumers (CPI-U) released Friday morning puts the year-over-year inflation rate at 2.00%. It is substantially below the 3.76% average since the end of the Second World War and above its 10-year moving average, now at 1.62%.
During the 2019 Las Vegas MoneyShow, Peter Schiff participated in an investing panel with Alexis Christoforous, Keith Fitz Gerald, Mark Skousen. The four discussed "where to invest."
When you boil it all down, it was Peter taking on the conventional wisdom.
There were some pretty lively exchanges with Peter driving home the point that the Federal Reserve has hopelessly distorted the economy and the next crash is on the horizon.
The following is a market update as it related to precious metals prepared by SchiffGold intern commodities analyst Jason Mezhibovsky.
Last week, the Federal Reserve released the minutes from its Federal Open Market Committee meeting earlier this month. There weren't any big surprises. The FOMC indicated that it would continue to take a "patient" approach to its monetary policy, basically stating that it is in no rush to adjust the policy either way for now.
Fed officials seemed to agree that this "do-nothing with interest rates" approach could continue for "some time.”
The daily trend clearly remains down for now with lower and lower highs. What would it take to reverse the current trend? Here's David...
    In Gold We Trust Report 2019
May 28, 2019 - 05:14:47 PDT
The breakdown of trust in the international monetary order is manifesting itself in the highest gold purchases by central banks since 1971 and the ongoing trend to repatriate gold reserves.
More than 130 years after its discovery, scientists just got their first high-tech peek at the unexpected crystal structure inside the Ram's Horn.
    Italian Stocks Send Europe Screeching into Reverse
May 28, 2019 - 04:59:22 PDT
After briefly rising, European markets fell as investors worried about spiking bond yields
"Participants in the interbank market, who didn’t differentiate credit when lending to banks on the belief that they will never go bankrupt, have now become more cautious."
    Hong Kong Property Back in Bubble Territory
May 28, 2019 - 04:56:57 PDT
Noted economist and Harvard professor Carmen Reinhart has become the latest person to sound the alarm about Hong Kong, on Tuesday saying the city’s property market is showing signs of a bubble.
European Central Bank officials are approaching a major decision on new stimulus amid conflicting economic data and differences over what to do about it.
    Why the Yuan Could Break 7 ... or 6 ... or 8
May 28, 2019 - 04:46:41 PDT
Big, round numbers matter less than the velocity and timing of exchange-rate moves. It makes sense for a slower China to have a weaker currency.