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Peter wallows in "conspiracy theory" but never addresses the conspiracy fact...
    The Only Fix Is Taking Matters into Your Own Hands
Sep 30, 2019 - 12:50:47 PDT
On Friday evening, the government here in Puerto Rico made an announcement to local retirees that many of them would have their pensions cut. Poof. Just like that. The pension cut is part of a debt…
"... one question we are often asked by our clients is about the similarities and differences to last year."
Right on cue, as we detailed here, precious metals prices have been pummeled as China Golden Week begins...
    International Value: Optionality on Reflation
Sep 30, 2019 - 11:01:31 PDT
At some point the global economy will get a dose of reflation. Whether that comes from the current central bank easing cycle, fiscal policy response, coordinated fiscal-monetary action, or a detente in the US-Sino trade dispute is not yet known.
    How to Solve the Public Pension Crisis
Sep 30, 2019 - 10:55:55 PDT
The money presses will have to hum, according to modern monetary theory and two savvy market analysts.
Upon a thorough inspection, the customs officers found nearly $50,000 worth of gold hidden in the man’s brazier as well as...
The statewide median home price in California is still rising. But that doesn't tell the full story. Values are actually dropping in these 23 cities.
    BofA: A Liquidity Crisis Is Coming In 2020
Sep 30, 2019 - 08:56:21 PDT
...credit tremors (Argentina, Ford, Thomas Cook) and growing risk of disorderly rise in US dollar hint at a potential liquidity crisis in 2020.
... and then JPMorgan now predict that the Fed will need to permanently inject billions in reserves - by way of Permanent Open Market Operations, i.e. purchases of Treasuries, i.e. QE 4
There is one very specific reason why gold & silver prices could plunge even more before the week is over...
    Stalemate - NorthmanTrader
Sep 30, 2019 - 08:50:45 PDT
Where is it? The great bull market? Where is the imminent great bear market? Fact is markets are in engaged in a big game of stalemate. Bulls keep buying every dip, but all rallies are sold and are…
One professor said the mortgage market's exposure to natural disasters could be massive - possibly even as large as the losses from the subprime crisis.
    An Industrial Crisis Is Brewing in Germany
Sep 30, 2019 - 08:46:41 PDT
In the darkest days of the 2009 recession, Germany’s industrial output was collapsing at an annual rate of more than 20%. An unfathomable implosion but one that thankfully ended almost as quickly as it started.Some 10 years on, a crisis is brewing once again in the country’s industrial
    The Fed's Worst Nightmare Could Be Around the Corner
Sep 30, 2019 - 08:34:06 PDT
The threat of stagflation — a toxic combination of a slowing economy combined with rising prices — could make Fed chair Jerome Powell's job much more difficult.
    Trouble in US Repo Markets
Sep 30, 2019 - 08:30:22 PDT
Four key concerns for liquidity provision. There are many plausible narratives that might explain the mid-September squeeze in the US overnight funding market, but they all come down to initiating a race to hoard cash.
    Chicago PMI Re-Slumps Back Into Contraction
Sep 30, 2019 - 07:13:31 PDT
Despite hope that August's bounce back into expansion would continue, September saw the key survey slump back into contraction (47.1 vs 50.0 exp) for the 3rd month in the last four...
Negative interest rates have quite literally broken one of the pillars of modern finance. As economists and central bankers weigh the pros and cons of sub-zero rates and their impact on the world...
    Corporations Binge on Debt After Promising Austerity
Sep 30, 2019 - 07:04:37 PDT
The great deleveraging that was supposed to sweep over corporate America is dead. Or, at least, on hold.Blue-chip companies have begun to ramp up borrowing again as central banks globally flood economies with money.
    Last Week in Review: Monday Sept. 30, 2019
September 30, 2019
Here is a summary of some of the significant economic data/news that came out last week.
Third-quarter 2019 new orders for durable goods remain on track for a second annual decline.  August 2019 Real New Orders for Durable Goods showed a monthly gain of 0.2% [1.0% ex-Commercial Aircraft], but an annual decline of 4.9% [down by 2.1% (-2.1%) ex-Commercial Aircraft].