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The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter of 2019 is 1.1 percent on November 1, down from 1.5 percent on October 31.
    America’s ‘Fragile’ Corporate Debt Pile
Nov 1, 2019 - 09:07:18 PDT
This graph shows the coming wall of maturities faced by both investment-grade and speculative-grade U.S. companies over the next few years.
    The Monetarist Era is Over
Nov 1, 2019 - 09:05:37 PDT
Central bankers have been the first to recognize that the effectiveness of monetary policy in managing demand & stabilizing economic cycles has reached its limits. The problem is that many politicians and academic economists remain in denial.
    Treasury Issuance May Present Issues for the Fed
Nov 1, 2019 - 09:02:07 PDT
There is a chance the Treasury’s latest refunding plans involve too many long-term notes and bonds and too few bills for the market to absorb easily. That could undermine the Fed’s efforts to stabilize money markets.
Mauldin: The Fed needs ample reserves to do its job. Fair enough. But until the last decade, a fraction of the current level sufficed. Now we are told the Fed needs far more reserves and it needs them permanently.
    Fun on Friday: Treasure Hunting!
November 1, 2019
Since moving to Florida, I've been able to spend a little bit of time on the beach. It's interesting watching what people pick up. You can kind of categorize people based on their haul of beach-combing treasures.
First-timers to the beach will basically pick up anything. Broken cockle-shells are worthy of the newbies' treasure bag, as are sticks, feathers and generic rocks. Hey - it came out of the ocean. It's probably a whale bone!
The ECB needs to reinvent itself and come up with new policy tools, Yanis Varoufakis, Greece's former finance minister told CNBC Thursday.
And will not be reversed without a significant change in global economic conditions, Thomas Jordan, head of the Swiss National Ban...
Three rate cuts passed by the Fed leave the U.S. economy better armed to withstand the risks of a global slowdown, Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida said on Friday
Several Democratic candidates have proposed wiping out a debt load that has exploded from $363 billion in 2005 to $1.5 trillion now.
Gold futures pull back on Friday, but face a weekly gain, as a closely watched report on U.S. employment comes in better than expected, affirming the...
U.S. President Donald Trump “has been outspoken in his views about the Fed chairman,” Kudlow said. But, he added, “there is no conversation to get rid of him, whatsoever.”
Warren has been unfazed by the criticism from America’s billionaires as she continues to ascend in the Democratic primary contest while calling on them to pay more.
For decades, the central bank has raised rates to guard against coming price increases. Now, it seems to be raising that hurdle.
"...the overall picture therefore remained one of only very modest growth and guarded optimism..."
As expected, the Federal Reserve cut rates for the third time this year. We're now down to 1.5%. The Fed hinted that cuts are likely on pause for now. But should we believe it? Was this the end of a mid-cycle adjustment? Or should we expect more moves by the central bank? In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host Mike Maharrey breaks down rate cut 3.0 and what it could mean for the precious metals markets.
But rents surge in 22 other markets by the double-digits.
The BLS Says 128,000 jobs were created, and the MSM thinks this lousy number is downright fantastic (after setting their expectations so low)!
Mortgage rates rose yet again - illustrating how the Fed’s policy can have a somewhat limited effect on the mortgage market.
That money might only buy a one-bedroom apartment, depending on where you want to live.