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    The Fed’s View Of Valuations May Be Misguided
Feb 14, 2020 - 09:15:54 PST
Over long periods, valuations are strong predictors of expected returns, which is what matters for investors.
The coronavirus is just one example of exogenous events that could prick the bubble. Just as Britain experienced in 1938, the ultimate calamity would not occur for another year or more.
he Swiss National Bank’s negative interest rates are essential and a premature tightening would hurt the economy, according to the government.
    Fun on Friday: You Forgot, Didn't You?
February 14, 2020
Psst... It's Valentine's Day.
You forgot, didn't you?
Well, if Valentine's Day did slip your mind, and you happened to stumble across this post early enough, you're welcome. Now get out there before it's too late.
And if it is too late, well, I'm sorry for your pain. Hope the couch is comfy.
    David Rosenberg on Key Investment Themes for 2020
Feb 14, 2020 - 08:15:07 PST
David Rosenberg joins FS Insider to discuss his key investment themes and ideas for 2020. David discusses corporate debt levels, Japan, the US consumer, investing in infrastructure, corporate buybacks and the Fed, as well as his big call...
Hedge-funder Mark Spitznagel believes the central banks have created a monster they don’t know how to stop. And when it comes (like in 2008) he’ll be ready.
    Yield Curve Inverts on Coronavirus Linked Demand
Feb 14, 2020 - 08:00:46 PST
Continued demand for safe-haven assets from investors nervous about the economic damage caused by the coronavirus outbreak drove yields lower on Monday, inverting one measure of the yield curve.
The U.S. Treasury sold $19 billion of long-term bonds with a record-low yield of 2.061% on Thursday. Not only that, but investor demand was the highest for any sale of a new bond since August 2014.
Investors and asset managers have a "huge appetite" for risk at the moment, says Stuart Oakley of Nomura.
When the Stampede Tumbles off the Cliff, Buyers Vanish, and Markets Go Bidless.
    As Household Debt Hits $14 Trillion
Feb 14, 2020 - 07:34:45 PST
Economists Say Fed Quantitative Easing Solution for Next Recession Insufficient
...central bankers should be burning the midnight oil... to address the harrowing reality that the entire world financial system is even more inextricably intertwined than 10 years ago...
"Hope" - the expectations index - increased to 92.6, the second-highest reading of the record-long U.S. economic expansion
Jerome Powell went to Capitol Hill this week. During his testimony before a congressional committee, the Fed chair insisted, "There is nothing about this economy that is out of kilter or imbalanced." In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap Podcast, host Mike Maharrey takes issue with Powell's assessment and points out some things that are, in fact, way out of kilter." He also touches on coronavirus and the markets, consumer debt, and Donald Trump.
    U.S. Stocks Fade After Fed Announces Repo Cuts
Feb 14, 2020 - 07:07:47 PST
U.S. equities had a turbulent Thursday, fluctuating between gains and losses on mixed news about the coronavirus outbreak, only to fade after the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said it will further shrink repurchase agreement operations.
Jim Bianco, a favorite guest of the Sherman Show, returns for another discussion with DoubleLine’s Jeffrey Sherman and Sam Lau. Among other topics, Mr. Bianco, president of Chicago-based Bianco Research, shares his insights into the European Central Bank’s negative-rate dilemma
The world is now facing the greatest crisis in history, and much less than 0.5% of people are prepared for this...
Silver’s role in both industrial uses and as a physical investment should give it a boost this year.
As of Thursday, there have been 15 cases of the novel coronavirus confirmed in seven states: eight in California; two in Illinois; and one in Arizona, Washington, Massachusetts, Wisconsin and Texas.
Are some of the critics of the surge in corporate borrowing actually creating the conditions that make it possible?