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    Why China Must Tread Carefully on Dumping US Debt
Nov 23, 2020 - 08:07:31 PST
If Beijing is anxious about US sovereign credit risks, there are other investment options like euros and gold, but they come with major consequences on prices and exchange rates.
    Debt Inflation Explodes. Can Deflation Be Far Away?
Nov 23, 2020 - 08:02:11 PST
The debt bubble just keeps inflating. When will the reckoning come?
    Great Inflation Debate: When and How Big?
Nov 23, 2020 - 07:57:18 PST
This is a guest post by Jim Bianco who explains his views on When Will the Fed Hike and Why. Summary; The market is starting to see a Fed hike on the distant horizon. This is how a shift in thinking begins. The driving reason for this change seems to be a resurgence of inflation over booming real growth.
As interest rate-growth differentials (r-g) have turned negative in many countries, now could be the time for governments to pursue fiscal expansions. However, the downside risks of such policies should not be disregarded.
The projected toxic debt approaches the scale of subprime-mortgage losses incurred by private lenders during the 2008 financial crisis.
Chinese companies are facing a reality check after years of ramping up debt. A crackdown on unregulated lending -- so-called shadow banking -- and tighter rules on asset management made it harder for some to borrow fresh funds to repay existing debt...
Euro zone firms are increasingly vulnerable amid a pandemic-induced recession but public support, including cheap cash from the European Central Bank, have limited the damage so far, a new ECB report showed on Monday.
...Average selling prices for goods and services rose at the fastest rate yet recorded by the survey, with shortages of supplies also more widespread than at any time previously reported.
12 million Americans are about to lose unemployment insurance. Congress is on recess.
    Why Gold Could Be Heading To $5000
Nov 23, 2020 - 05:38:16 PST
Gold prices have soared this year, but the real rally may be able to kick into high gear as some analysts predict major gains in the not-so-distant future...
Economist John Williams says don’t think the happy news on CV19 vaccines is going to get the economy back to normal anytime soon.
“We are on the precipice of the greatest retirement crisis in the history of the world. And that makes perfect sense because, first of all, we have the largest elderly population in the history of the world.
Global debt is expected to soar to a record $277 trillion by the end of the year, according to the Institute of International Finance. Developed markets’ total debt -government, corporate and households- jumped to 432% of GDP in the third quarter.
    Inflation May Be About to Pick Up Sharply
Nov 23, 2020 - 05:28:23 PST
It may seem strange to be worried about inflation in the midst of a global recession, a pandemic and huge political ructions in the U.S., but I strongly suspect that it’s about to pick up both soon and sharply.
    Dollar Falls to 2018 Lows
Nov 23, 2020 - 05:23:31 PST
The dollar dropped to a two-and-a-half year low as the prospect of vaccine roll-outs added to headwinds for the world’s reserve currency.
With Congress out of session for the Thanksgiving holiday, new analysis from Goldman Sachs suggests that while it’s still likely that lawmakers will pass another coronavirus relief bill, its size and scope can be expected to shrink the longer lawmakers delay.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has said he would pull funding from several of the emergency lending programs set up by the Federal Reserve this year.
    US Fed’s Balance Sheet Hits New Record High
Nov 23, 2020 - 05:07:29 PST
Overall sentiment prevailing globally can be best described as one of cautious optimism. With a couple of vaccines having been proven effective in tri
The tide in the $20 trillion Treasury market appears to be turning in favor of the bulls for now, with expectations growing that the Federal Reserve will boost purchases of longer-maturity debt as soon as next month.
The possible arrival of a coronavirus vaccine in the coming weeks means the Federal Reserve may soon have to lay out its plans for helping the economy navigate the potentially choppy transition to a post-pandemic world.