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Rather than worrying about the prospects of higher long-term expected inflation, the US Federal Reserve is exuding confidence that it can maintain price stability should the need ever arise. It should think again, before the inflation genie has escaped from the bottle.
A government is not a wealth-generating entity. The more it spends, the more resources it has to take from wealth generators. This in turn undermines the wealth-generating process of the economy. For instance, if the government plans to spend $3 trillion and funds these outlays by means of $2 trillion in taxes, there is going to be a deficit, or a shortfall, of $1 trillion.
Crescat invites you to take a look through our current macro deck. This research is an important component of our investment process, illustrating how Crescat evaluations the broader market and positions within our five strategies.
The goal of this meeting will likely be to bide time...
Biden Tax Plan Panders to ‘Radical’ Dems Who Want to Take Money Out of Hardworking Americans’ PocketApr 20, 2021 - 10:08:58 PDT
President Biden’s tax plans show he is choosing to pander to the "very far radical side of the Democrat Party" instead of strengthening the American economy, Rep. August Pfluger, R-Texas, argued on FOX Business’ "Mornings with Maria" Tuesday.
States offer extra unemployment benefits to workers based on a certain metric. That trigger cut aid short for many people during Covid, a study said.
Fed Powell Says Will let Inflation Run, But Won’t Allow ‘Substantial’ Overshoot of Inflation TargetApr 20, 2021 - 10:01:33 PDT
The U.S. economy is going to temporarily see "a little higher" inflation this year as the economy strengthens and supply constraints push up prices in some sectors, but the Federal Reserve is committed to keeping any overshoot within limits, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said...
Why Record US Port Congestion May Lead To Historic Trade Deficit Blowout, Dollar PlungeApr 20, 2021 - 09:48:10 PDT
Asset prices do not normally respond to trade releases, but if the deficit is as wide as containers indicate, the USD downside risk may become clearer, especially with Fed commentary weighing on yields.
Biden aims to approve the second phase of his infrastructure package based around child care and paid leave after passage of the first piece.
America's financial system and state are themselves the problems, yet neither system is capable of recognizing this or unwinding their fatal synergies.
But shipment volume, though strong, is not at record levels.
The Fed's massive QE program has failed to stimulate bank lending. Let's discuss the evidence and more importantly why it's happening.
The Netherlands, long considered to be at the heart of a system in which multinational corporations minimize their taxes by shifting profits, has signaled that it’s ready to support a U.S. proposal that ends the practice.
Never before have so many countries, including China, moved with such vigor at the same time to limit the power of a single industry.
The Biden administration is taking steps to protect the country's electric system from cyberattacks through a new 100-day initiative combining federal government agencies and private industry. The initiative, announced Tuesday by the Energy Department...
Chinese President Xi Jinping called for greater global economic integration and warned against decoupling while calling on the U.S. and its allies to avoid “bossing others around.
First quarter earnings season is less than a week old, but the biggest theme management teams are talking about is clear — higher costs.
Gold prices inched higher on Tuesday, hovering below a seven-week peak hit in the previous session, bolstered by a pullback in U.S. Treasury yields and a weaker dollar.
Investors Are Poorly Prepared For Inflation, All-Star Money Manager Rich Bernstein WarnsApr 20, 2021 - 05:47:57 PDT
Institutional Investor Hall of Famer Richard Bernstein is finding a lot of denial about inflation risks in the market.
The four largest U.S. banks gathered $919 billion in additional deposits last year, money that they either parked in cash or used to increase their holdings of securities, new data show. Deposits at JPMorgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Corp., Citigroup Inc. and...