Precious metals news

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its global growth forecast for 2024 upwards, now predicting a 3.1% expansion, marking a 0.2 percentage point increase from previous estimates. This optimistic adjustment stems from the resilience demonstrated by the U.S. economy, alongside the effects of fiscal stimulus in China. Additionally, robust performances from major emerging market economies have contributed to this improved global economic outlook. Despite these positive developments, the report does caution about new risks, particularly to commodities and supply chains, arising from escalating volatility in the Middle East. However, a notable silver lining is the quicker-than-anticipated decline in global inflation rates, suggesting a more stable economic environment moving forward.

As the Federal Reserve gears up for its meeting on January 31, 2024, there's a significant shift in expectations due to the improving economic landscape. Inflation rates are nearing the Fed's target, and the economy exhibits robust growth with strong consumer spending and historically low unemployment rates. This positive trend defies earlier recession forecasts, sparking debates on the durability of this economic strength. Federal Reserve officials, grappling with post-pandemic economic assessments, are cautiously contemplating rate cuts. The first cut might occur around May or June, with the exact timing being a primary discussion point at the upcoming meeting.

Valentine's Day is here and you might find yourself buying (or wishing you had remembered to buy) a Valentine’s Day present. A classic romantic present involves gold, diamonds, and sometimes both. And both diamonds and gold seem at first blush to have a lot in common.

China’s 10-Year Yield hit a two-decade low, influenced by the People’s Bank of China's unexpected reduction in the reserve-requirement ratio. This move is expected to release significant liquidity into the market and indicates a potential pivot in China's monetary policy, contrasting with previous conservative stances.

The U.S. Treasury is expected to announce an increase in long-term debt sales. This comes after a surprising reduction in its quarterly borrowing estimate. The Treasury's move signals its preparation for cash management needs and the enhancement of liquidity in off-the-run Treasuries. This move may affect the Treasury market and investor strategies.

Uncover the mystery the Federal Reserve doesn’t want you to know.

Prices for gold and silver hit their highest levels in over two weeks. Gold for April delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange settled at $2,044.60 an ounce, the highest since January 12. Silver for March delivery also rose, ending the day at $23.251 an ounce, marking a similar two-week high.

Investors are increasingly betting on long-duration U.S. Treasuries, anticipating lower yields as the Federal Reserve leans towards rate cuts. The general sentiment suggests that longer-duration bonds, more sensitive to interest rate changes, could be a wise investment in anticipation of a slowing economy and possible rate cuts.

Global stock markets show mixed responses with Asia-Pacific stocks mostly up, despite Middle East tensions and Chinese property concerns. U.S. futures remain stable with key economic data releases and Fed decisions looming. Oil prices remain steady, while gold sees a slight increase.

A recent report from Oxfam, highlighted on the Undergraduate Laws Blog, unveils a startling increase in wealth inequality. Since 2020, the wealth of the world's five richest men has more than doubled from $405 billion to $869 billion, while the poorest 60% of the global population, nearly 5 billion people, have seen their wealth decline. This sharp rise in billionaire wealth, set against the backdrop of a global pandemic that restricted individual freedoms, underscores deepening economic disparities.

Recent data have many cheerful about the economy. But according to Peter in his latest podcast, the economy may already be in recession. Here are some of Peter’s biggest causes for concern:

Citizens of Georgia, Kentucky, Wisconsin, and Kansas may soon enjoy lower taxes on precious metals if recently introduced pro-metal bills are made law in 2024.

In 2023, the Treasury added $2.6T to the national debt. While that number alone should be enough to scare anyone, the details reveal something even more concerning. $2T of it, or 77%, was financed entirely with short-term Treasury Bills maturing in less than a year. The chart below shows the debt issuance trend over the last 20 years. As shown, the Treasury typically relies on medium-term debt (2-10 Year Notes) to fund the budget deficit. 2023 was a massive change in standard procedure as shown by the giant light blue bar on the right of the chart. 

Citizens of Georgia, Kentucky, Wisconsin, and Kansas may soon enjoy lower taxes on precious metals if recently introduced pro-metal bills are made law in 2024.

The Hong Kong court has ordered the liquidation of the heavily indebted Chinese real estate giant, Evergrande. Judge Linda Chan's decision came after Evergrande's repeated failures to present a viable plan for restructuring its overwhelming debt, exceeding $300 billion. This ruling marks a crucial development in China's real estate sector crisis, although its impact on mainland China remains uncertain. Evergrande, once a symbol of the industry's turmoil, sought an additional three-month extension on Friday but was denied. Alvarez & Marsal Asia has been appointed as the liquidator to manage the process. The managing directors emphasized their focus on preserving as much of the business as possible through restructuring or continued operations. The situation has caused widespread concern in the investment community, drawing comparisons to the Lehman Brothers collapse and its triggering of the global financial crisis.

President Joe Biden vowed a response following a drone strike in northeast Jordan near the Syrian border, which resulted in the deaths of three American troops. The strike, attributed to Iran-backed militias, marks a significant escalation after several attacks against U.S. forces in the Middle East. This incident occurred amidst the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict. Biden's statement came during a visit to South Carolina, where he observed a moment of silence for the fallen soldiers at a Baptist church banquet hall, highlighting the gravity of the situation and indicating potential future actions by the U.S. in response to this attack.

ANZ Bank's new report on gold and silver says despite short-term pressures, the medium to long-term outlook for gold remains bullish. The report also touches on the relationship between the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen and its impact on gold. As for silver, it's described as moving in harmony with gold, with its price influenced by gold's trends and industrial demand, especially from the solar industry

U.S. Treasury yields witnessed a decline on Monday, influenced by investor anticipation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and upcoming key economic data. The 10-year Treasury yield saw a drop of 6 basis points to 4.098%, while the 2-year Treasury yield decreased by 3.9 basis points to 4.33%. This movement comes after the release of December’s personal consumption expenditures price index, showing a year-on-year rise of 2.9%, slightly below expectations. The focus is now on the Fed's upcoming interest rate decision this Wednesday, following the start of their meeting on Tuesday.

The durability of the U.S. economic expansion may largely depend on the Federal Reserve's strategy in the coming months. Historically, crises like stock market and housing crashes, and pandemics have disrupted economic growth. Currently, the Fed's challenge is to adjust interest rates adeptly to maintain economic momentum. Despite a decline in inflation, there's debate on the timing of rate reductions. The economy, while strong, shows signs of stress in household spending and job growth in limited sectors. Economists are concerned about the Fed's response to these evolving economic conditions, emphasizing the balance needed to support continued growth without triggering inflation.

In this week’s Market Wrap Podcast with Mike Gleason, the focus is on China's escalating gold purchases against a backdrop of seemingly positive economic data and stock market highs. Despite a reported 3.3% growth in the U.S. GDP for the fourth quarter, there's skepticism about the sustainability of this growth, with projections of a potential decline in the coming quarters. This uncertainty is partly fueling China's public to turn towards gold, highlighting a trend of increasing interest in precious metals as a hedge in times of economic instability.