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CPI came in hotter than expected in January and threw cold water on the "disinflation" narrative that was gaining steam in the mainstream. Less-reported were the revisions of past CPI data. These undercut that narrative even further.
The CPI data for October, November and December were all revised higher.
Retail sales came in much stronger than expected in January after declining the previous two months. Mainstream financial media pundits immediately declared that this "jump in consumer spending" was a good sign for the economy. The Wall Street Journal called the robust sales report "evidence that US economic growth picked up at the start of the year."
But there is a dark side to this retail sales report.
    China Is The World’s Biggest Gold Buyer
Feb 15, 2023 - 13:00:04 PST
China has imported 64% more gold year over year, bringing its total 2022 gold imports to 13,343 tons...
President Vladimir Putin encouraged the switch to gold by restricting sales of foreign currency and scrapping VAT on the yellow metal.
As bond yields move higher in response to bumper payrolls (Feb 3), Fed remarks (last week) and sticky inflation (Feb 14), there’s a lot of golly-gee commentary circulating. Generally, the comments take the form of “Look, the US 2Y yield keeps rising” or “Wow, the 2s10s curve keeps inverting”, without specifying why a certain level of yields or curve spread matters for the economy,...
The U.S. dollar climbed higher in early European trade Wednesday after U.S. consumer inflation remained elevated in January, while sterling fell after a drop in the U.K. CPI rate.
Congressional Budget Office projections released on Wednesday suggested rising interest rates and bipartisan spending bills are adding to deficits, amid a partisan fight on fiscal policy.
Understanding Inflation: Doug Casey's Take on the Fed's Inflation Target and its Implications for Investments.
With FOMC Chair Jerome Powell continuing to raise rates against everyone's wishes I speak to Danielle Dimartino Booth about why.
How Jay Powell just surpassed the extreme dovishness of Arthur Burns.
    A World Without Finance
Feb 15, 2023 - 12:13:17 PST
We will enter a world without finance, and it will be a better world, for the economy will no longer be in thrall to the derangement and inequality of parasitic, predatory finance.
Arch globalist Klaus Schwab has called for elites to come together globally in order to “master” advanced technologies, warning them that if they don’t act swiftly the world could “escape our power”.
    CBO Estimates US Treasury Default As Early As July
Feb 15, 2023 - 12:11:03 PST
While Janet Yellen continues to 'hope', the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office is out with its first public opinion on the risk of default by the US federal government if lawmakers fail to raise the debt ceiling.
The Fed's Industrial Production Report for January continues to suggest production has peaked this cycle.
    What’s Up (and Down) With the Economy?
Feb 15, 2023 - 08:28:34 PST
"I would keep my eye on the LEI (and AIER’s equivalent) but pay special attention to the manufacturing variables. Outside of the LEI, I would also carefully watch real wage trends and its downstream knockoffs (credit card and other debt and defaults, and the personal savings rate)." ~ Robert E...
    Joblessness and the Fed
Feb 15, 2023 - 08:27:59 PST
"Without a symmetric response to deviations from the target, the Fed’s so-called average inflation target will not produce 2 percent inflation on average. Instead, it will tend to produce inflation that exceeds 2 percent. That’s a far cry from price stability." ~ Alexander William Salter
US inflation is causing The Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, and mortgage applications are suffering.
President Joe Biden is lining up a new battle-tested economic team because he knows one main obstacle stands in the way of his reelection: a recession.
    To Save Money, Maybe You Should Skip Breakfast: WSJ
Feb 15, 2023 - 07:46:54 PST
Breakfast lovers might be better off just having a cup of coffee—but go with roasted, not instant. Prices for roasted coffee declined by 0.1% last month, but instant coffee rose by a 3.6% monthly increase for instant coffee.
It is going to be a long and complicated path before price gains moderate and the latest US print shows why. Also, a breakfast staple is becoming more expensive.