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    Gold Shines: Analysts Project $2,700 Target by Year-End
Sep 16, 2024 - 10:36:26 EDT
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates at its upcoming meeting, with growing speculation of a larger 50 basis point reduction due to concerns about labor market weakness. This prospect has boosted gold prices while weakening the dollar. Analysts believe gold could reach $2,700 per ounce by the end of the year if the dollar continues to decline, as overall market conditions remain favorable for the precious metal.
The Federal Reserve is poised to cut interest rates for the first time in over four years at its upcoming meeting on Wednesday, marking a significant shift in monetary policy. This move is expected to ease borrowing costs and stimulate economic growth, with the Fed aiming for a "soft landing" - reducing inflation without causing a recession. While a quarter-point cut is widely anticipated, some analysts are considering the possibility of a larger half-point reduction. The market is particularly interested in the Fed's future plans and how this decision will impact various sectors of the economy.
Brazil has made significant progress in removing illegal gold miners from the Yanomami reservation in the Amazon, addressing a humanitarian crisis that emerged from the influx of wildcat miners. Nilton Tubino, who oversees operations, reported that the Yanomami people are returning to traditional practices like farming and hunting. Since March, coordinated efforts involving police, military, and environmental agents have dismantled numerous mining camps, destroyed illegal airstrips, and seized mining equipment. The government has also improved health services and provided food aid to combat malnutrition and diseases exacerbated by the miners.
    Gold Soars to New Heights as Fed Rate Cut Approaches
Sep 16, 2024 - 10:08:39 EDT
Gold prices have surged to record highs as investors anticipate a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the coming week. This expectation has fueled optimism in the commodities market, particularly for gold, which tends to benefit from lower interest rates. The precious metal's value has been climbing steadily, reflecting market sentiment and economic forecasts.
With the gold price hitting a record high on Friday, has Global De-Dollarization finally arrived?  Several recent articles on secret central bank gold buying suggest this may, indeed, be the case.  I share my analysis on this subject matter in this Important Gold Market Update...
    Gold Breaks New All-Time Highs – Is Silver Next?
Sep 13, 2024 - 15:31:45 EDT
Gold's 25% surge this year outperforms many key assets, validating its investment value. Gold's outlook looks strong, with potential for further gains
    Stocks, Gold Rise on Bet on Aggressive Fed Rate Cut
Sep 13, 2024 - 14:47:22 EDT
Wall Street is experiencing a significant shift in investment strategies as traders increasingly bet on a substantial Federal Reserve rate cut. This has led to a rotation from tech giants to smaller, economically sensitive stocks. The Russell 2000 index of smaller firms outperformed tech megacaps, while an equal-weighted version of the S&P 500 beat the standard benchmark. This rotation suggests a broadening of the market rally beyond the handful of tech companies that have dominated gains so far this year, as investors anticipate that Fed rate cuts will boost the broader economy.
    Yield Curve Uninverts: A New Economic Warning Sign?
Sep 13, 2024 - 09:19:57 EDT
The yield curve, a well-known recession indicator, has recently "uninverted," with the 2-year Treasury yield falling below the 10-year yield. While this might seem positive, historical patterns suggest that when this uninversion occurs just before the Federal Reserve starts cutting interest rates, it can still signal an impending recession. However, experts caution against relying solely on this indicator, as there have been instances where uninversion didn't lead to an immediate economic downturn. The current economic landscape, including recent job reports and inflation data, adds complexity to interpreting these signals.
Gold prices have reached new record highs, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and other central banks. The precious metal's value has surged nearly 25% this year, benefiting from economic uncertainties, geopolitical tensions, and its status as a safe-haven asset. Investors are closely watching for signals from the Fed's upcoming meeting, with most anticipating a rate cut that could further boost gold's appeal compared to interest-bearing assets.
The dollar weakened and gold reached a record high as investors reassessed the likelihood of a significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week. Reports from major financial publications suggested the decision could be closer than previously thought, causing a shift in market expectations. This led to a rally in stocks, Treasury prices, and commodities, while the dollar fell to its lowest point this year against the yen.
Gold prices are maintaining a bullish trend above $2,512 despite headwinds from rising US Treasury yields and a strong US Dollar. The recent CPI report showing cooling inflation has increased expectations of a modest 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve. While gold faces resistance at $2,539, it could potentially rally to $2,548 if momentum persists. However, shifting risk sentiment and China's economic challenges may limit gold's upside. The market remains sensitive to upcoming economic data and Fed decisions, with gold's resilience reflecting underlying economic uncertainties.
    China's Gold Demand Lags Behind Global Trends in August
Sep 12, 2024 - 09:51:16 EDT
China's gold market in August showed mixed signals, with the LBMA Gold Price AM in USD rising 4.3% while the Shanghai Gold Benchmark PM in RMB increased by only 1.7%. Gold withdrawals from the Shanghai Gold Exchange increased month-over-month but fell year-over-year, reflecting weak local demand despite seasonal factors. Chinese gold ETFs experienced their first monthly outflow since November 2023, likely due to profit-taking. However, gold futures volumes on the Shanghai Futures Exchange reached their highest level since April. Looking ahead, seasonal demand may improve, but economic challenges and high gold prices could continue to limit consumption, while investment demand remains price-dependent.
The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.2% in August compared to July, meeting economists' expectations. This follows the release of consumer inflation data the previous day. On an annual basis, producer prices rose by 1.7%. The core PPI, which excludes food and energy prices, showed a slightly higher increase of 0.3% month-over-month, surpassing the anticipated 0.2% rise. This data provides insight into inflationary pressures at the wholesale level, which can eventually impact consumer prices.
    Raw Material Stocks Climb Amid Fed Speculation
Sep 12, 2024 - 09:30:22 EDT
The materials sector experienced a slight uptick following the release of inflation data, as investors anticipate a potential rate cut from the Federal Reserve in the upcoming week. Consumer prices rose 2.5% in August, meeting expectations, while core prices exceeded forecasts. Gold futures remained near record highs, and lithium miners saw gains due to potential supply constraints from a major Chinese battery manufacturer considering production suspensions.
The European Central Bank (ECB) has implemented a second interest rate cut, lowering its benchmark rate by 0.25 percentage points to 3.5% as inflation in the eurozone continues to decline. This move aims to stimulate economic growth by reducing borrowing costs for businesses and consumers. While inflation has significantly decreased from its peak, the ECB remains cautious about future rate cuts, emphasizing a data-dependent approach. The bank's decision reflects a delicate balance between supporting economic growth and ensuring inflation remains under control, with ECB President Christine Lagarde indicating confidence in reaching their 2% inflation target while avoiding commitments to future rate paths.
Hurricane Francine's impact on U.S. oil production has caused a modest increase in crude oil prices, with Brent and WTI futures rising by about 1%. The storm has disrupted offshore platforms and coastal refineries in the Gulf of Mexico, leading to concerns about short-term supply tightening. However, the price gains are limited due to a generally weak demand outlook, particularly from China, and recent increases in U.S. oil inventories.
In this short update from Mike Maloney at the Limitless conference, you’ll be introduced to the very first client of GoldSilver.com
With Gold hitting a new record high today as silver surpassed $30, there are still troubling signs in the copper market.  Not only did silver do extremely well, but several of the silver mining stocks saw big double-digit gains today...
Gold is poised for a potential breakout above its recent trading range, with prices approaching the upper limit of $2,530. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, though some caution remains. A successful breach could lead to new all-time highs, while failure may result in a pullback. The upcoming US CPI data release could be a key catalyst for gold's next move, as investors weigh inflation trends and their impact on Federal Reserve policy.
Chinese traders and investors have emerged as a dominant force in the global gold market, driving prices to record highs in early 2024. This shift in market dynamics has seen Chinese speculators on the Shanghai Futures Exchange and Shanghai Gold Exchange significantly increase their trading volumes and open interest in gold futures. Meanwhile, Western investors, particularly in the U.S., have been reducing their gold holdings. This trend highlights a growing Eastern influence on gold prices, potentially setting the stage for further price increases as Chinese demand continues to surge, despite reduced interest from traditional Western market participants.