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The Bank of England's top economist has said people in the UK need to accept that they are poorer otherwise prices will continue to rise.
In my last post, I described the big cycle template, consisting of the five major forces. Today’s post is the follow-up I promised, focusing on the great power conflict and what’s going on with China.
    China Pushes Largest-Ever Expansion of Nuclear Arsenal
Apr 26, 2023 - 12:30:02 PDT
China is pushing ahead with the largest-ever expansion of its nuclear arsenal, modernizing the atomic deterrent with an eye on future conflicts with the US.
    Zelensky Presses NATO on Membership, Long-Range Weapons
Apr 26, 2023 - 12:29:32 PDT
Ukraine's Zelensky pressed NATO to invite Kyiv to join the alliance and send more fighter jets and long-range weapons, as battles with Russia raged on.
    What If the Whole Shebang Unravels?
Apr 26, 2023 - 12:16:23 PDT
Nobody seems to be wondering what happens should the real world no longer respond to the Perpetual Motion Finance Machine.
Following negative revisions to retail sales data, the Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate took a plunge.
    Commodities Bellwether Flashes US Recession Warning
Apr 26, 2023 - 12:07:17 PDT
As uncertainty circles the markets on whether the Fed is approaching the end of its tightening cycle, the gold-to-oil ratio suggests commodities traders are hedging against the risk of a US recession.
He is not the first, and he won't be the last, but "everyone's new favorite theme... US dollar debasement" appears to have taken hold in the mind of billionaire hedge fund manager Stanley Druckenmiller as The FT reports that he is betting against the US Dollar as his only high conviction trade.
    The $200 Billion HEIST...From YOU!
Apr 26, 2023 - 09:31:19 PDT
Imagine having $200 billion stolen from you - what would that feel like? Watch today’s video with Mike Maloney and find out…because it just happened to you.
    Sleepwalking Into a Global Recession
Apr 26, 2023 - 08:34:39 PDT
The current wave of interest-rate hikes has slowed inflation but also popped several asset bubbles, potentially triggering additional debt and financial crises. While a prolonged economic downturn may be inevitable, the G7 countries can soften the blow by coordinating their fiscal and monetary policies.
    No Confidence in the Fed: Joseph E. Stiglitz
Apr 26, 2023 - 08:32:26 PDT
While Federal Reserve officials have sought to assure markets that the US banking system is sound in the wake of Silicon Valley Bank’s collapse, investors and depositors have no reason to believe them. Only meaningful reforms of deposit insurance, regulation, and governance can restore the Fed’s credibility.
    Fedbucks Coming to a Theater Near You This Summer!
Apr 26, 2023 - 08:04:15 PDT
As we near what appears to me to be a preliminary step for a Fed digital dollar or CBDC, it is not surprising that the Financial Times ran an editorial capitalizing on the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank to argue that the time for a Fed CBDC has arrived. After all, if we had a digital Fed dollar, we wouldn’t need to muck around with those high-risk cryptos that helped bring down SVB...
    America's Social Contract Is Broken
Apr 26, 2023 - 07:54:43 PDT
The Social Contract is broken not just by wealth inequality per se but by the illegitimate process of wealth acquisition
    The Look And Feel of a Precious Metals Bull Market
Apr 26, 2023 - 07:49:31 PDT
...If the big banks are unable to engineer a material pullback in the prices of gold and silver, a possibility that not beyond consideration, the signal sent to the market could trigger a move in the sector that takes everyone, even the staunchest of long-time gold bugs, by surprise.
Money supply is declining at the sharpest pace since the Great Depression.
Even Miami lost ground. Spring selling season is a dud so far. And the banking crisis hasn’t even made it into the data yet. That’s still to come.
Wasting away again in Bidenville. Nibblin’ on ice cream. Watching the economy boil. Particularly mortgage demand. Mortgage applications increased 3.7 percent from one week earlier, according …
    A New Rush to Find Gold in the Sierra Nevada Foothills
Apr 26, 2023 - 06:03:31 PDT
Bill Mitchell, a geologist in El Dorado County who specializes in mineral exploration, said a majority of the gold in the Sierra had still not been extracted. It’s going to take rainy years like this one to pry some of the remaining gold loose, he said.
    Gold Rangebound as Traders Await Fed Cues
Apr 26, 2023 - 06:02:36 PDT
Gold prices stuck within a narrow range on Wednesday as traders strapped in for U.S. economic data for further guidance on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance.
After declining for two straight months, analysts expected US durable goods orders to bounce modestly (+0.7% MoM) in preliminary March data released today. Instead the print soared 3.2% MoM rescuing the YoY from dropping negative for the first time since Aug 2020...