Precious metals news

China's shares are experiencing a third consecutive week of losses, with the yuan trading close to an eight-month low. Concerns are growing in the nation's credit market. Premier Li Qiang has promised to implement targeted stimulus measures to stabilize growth, employment, and mitigate risks. However, he provided no specific details, leaving investors eager for more information. The weakening property market, high youth unemployment, and sluggish household and business confidence have raised expectations for economic support from the government.

Investors have continued to pour money into cash funds, driving total cash assets under management to a significant $7.8 trillion. Inflows into cash funds reached $29 billion, while equity funds received $13 billion and bond funds saw $9.8 billion in investments. Despite the strong performance of global equity markets, concerns about a potential recession have led investors to maintain significant cash positions throughout the year.

Volatility trading in 2023 is marked by contradictions and warnings of impending turmoil. Despite expectations of the VIX rising, market participants act as if it won't. The S&P 500 bet on continued peace reached record levels, overlooking the risks posed by the Federal Reserve and an unstable economy. However, recent events have exposed the fragility of the market. The fear gauge surged, resulting in a significant selloff across financial assets. The potential for damage remains high, emphasizing the unique challenges faced by speculators.

Clearly, many investors lack faith in the U.S. consumer. Personal savings rate plummets to 4.6%, below the pandemic peak and long-term average. Struggling paychecks and depleted savings make spending difficult. Uncertainty looms with potential interest rate hikes, low savings, and persistent inflation, dampening prospects for retailers and consumer-centric stocks.

World stocks closed the first week of the third quarter on a downward slide as the U.S. jobs data signaled the likelihood of higher interest rates. MSCI's global stock index dipped 0.2% and Europe's Stoxx 600 fell 0.3%. Strong U.S. labor market figures prompted a sell-off in bond markets, with two-year Treasury yields surpassing 5%. The possibility of the Federal Reserve raising rates twice this year became more likely, causing selling pressure across global markets. Bond yields in Germany and the UK also experienced fluctuations, with long-term borrowing costs ending the week significantly higher.

Positive Outlook for Gold as Central Banks Approach End of Tightening Cycles. Amidst expectations of a mild contraction in the US and slow growth in developed markets, gold continues to shine. Supported by rangebound bond yields and a weaker dollar, the precious metal has delivered positive returns in the first half of the year. Investors are optimistic about gold's resilience and anticipate stronger investment demand in the event of deteriorating economic conditions. As developed market central banks near the end of their tightening cycles, the stage is set for gold to thrive in the current market environment.

Four significant megatrends in the precious metals market have emerged: central bank gold buying, increasing silver uses, a breakdown in platinum supply, and the impact of "ethical sourcing" ESG mandates. Central banks worldwide are building up their gold reserves to hedge against economic uncertainty and weakening currencies. Demand for silver is rising in various industries, especially as it is essential for technological applications and green technologies like solar panels. The supply of platinum is becoming precarious due to power shortages, social unrest in South Africa, and trade disruptions caused by Russia's conflict with Ukraine. Additionally, government-driven "ethical sourcing" initiatives are affecting the mining sector, influencing practices and capital control schemes. These megatrends are expected to shape the precious metals market in the coming years.

Globalist elites disregard democratic outcomes like Brexit and Trump's election. Both China and Russia reject globalism, while the pandemic weakens its hold. Free trade is a myth, as major economies subsidize industries and impose barriers. The theory of comparative advantage overlooks dynamic factors. Globalists fear nationalism and seek to undermine democracy. Climate change is exploited as a cover for globalist agendas. Media, corporations, and international organizations are influenced by globalists, suppressing dissent.

Biden's economic approach, referred to as "Bidenomics," favors a Soviet-style command economy where the Federal Government controls spending and directs the allocation of funds. The use of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is an example of this approach, as Biden has depleted almost 50% of the reserve since taking office. This depletion is seen as an attempt to manipulate fuel prices ahead of the 2024 Presidential election. The recent crude draw was smaller than expected, indicating fluctuations in oil stocks and notable product draws. Biden's focus on fuel prices may shift once he secures reelection.

Meta, formerly known as Facebook, has unveiled Threads, a text-based conversation app positioned as a friendly alternative to Twitter. With over 10 million sign-ups, Threads is linked to Meta-owned Instagram and aims to provide a more wholesome social media experience. However, concerns about data privacy and censorship have surfaced. Former Twitter owner Jack Dorsey highlighted the vast amount of data collected by Threads, and journalist Michael Shellenberger revealed that the platform was already censoring users without an appeal process. The entry of Threads into the market raises questions about Meta's control over public discourse and potential for increased censorship.

Former SEC official John Reed Stark strongly criticizes the idea of a central bank digital currency (CBDC), calling it absurd and unnecessary. He argues that trusted digital currencies already exist and are regulated by government authorities and financial institutions. Stark raises concerns about policy implications, financial risks, and privacy and security issues associated with a CBDC. He supports proposed legislation to ban the creation of a direct-to-consumer CBDC, as advocated by Senator Ted Cruz. The debate around CBDCs continues to evolve...

Data from the Federal Reserve reveals that large banks in the U.S. are experiencing the fastest decline in deposits in four decades. Since April 2022, deposits at the 25 largest commercial banks have plummeted by $921 billion, a decline of 7.88 percent. In contrast, small banks saw a decline of 4.5 percent, shedding only $243.37 billion. This data puts into perspective the misleading narrative that depositors were flocking to larger banks during the banking crisis earlier this year. The decline in deposits raises concerns about the overall health of the banking industry.

The latest JOLTS report reveals contrasting trends in the labor market. Job openings declined by 496,000 in May, with notable decreases in sectors like health care and finance. However, the number of voluntary quits surged by over 250,000, particularly in health care and construction. Additionally, hires increased by 107,000. The reliability of the data is questioned due to the record-low response rate of 31%. Careful analysis is needed to navigate the complexities of the evolving labor market.

Cash-strapped Americans are resorting to searching for "pawn shop near me" as a desperate measure to raise quick money amidst the current inflation crisis. The search trend has reached record highs, indicating that consumers may be selling off items purchased during the Covid boom. The nationwide interest in this trend is reflected in related searches for pawn shop services. The situation raises concerns about the effectiveness of current economic policies, as consumers face negative wage growth, depleted savings, and high levels of credit card debt. Companies and analysts have noted signs of a weakening consumer, further fueling worries about the state of the economy.

The United States is facing an unsustainable level of borrowing and mounting debt, with annual budget deficits projected to average around $2 trillion per year. Interest payments on the debt are set to surpass national defense spending by 2029, and the burden will continue to grow. The era of low interest rates is ending, making it crucial for leaders to chart a new course. While there is talk of reducing the deficit, meaningful action is lacking. Both parties must come together for larger changes that involve increased revenue and reduced spending. The debt ceiling should be eliminated, and compromises on revenue collection and entitlement programs will be necessary. Failing to make these choices comes at a steep price.

The official inflation rate of 4% doesn’t seem to match reality for a lot of people – and nowhere is that more evident than in the grocery store.

Initial jobless claims rebounded higher last week, with 248,000 Americans filing for unemployment benefits. Continuing claims, however, continued to decrease, reaching the lowest level since February 2023. The divergence between initial and continuing claims could indicate a rotation from high-paying to low-paying jobs.

ECB's balance sheet has decreased by €1.62 trillion, or 18%, since June last year, reaching its lowest level since March 2021. The reduction is attributed to the unwinding of QE, including loans to banks and bond purchases. The pandemic-era loan QT has unwound by €1.58 trillion, while bond QT is proceeding faster than expected, with holdings down by €105 billion. The ECB has hiked policy rates by 4 percentage points in 12 months, and inflation in services remains a concern, driving the rate hikes and balance sheet reduction.

Mortgage applications saw a decline of 4.4 percent from the previous week, as reported by the Mortgage Bankers Association's Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 30, 2023. The seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index, which measures mortgage loan application volume, also decreased by 4.4 percent. However, on an unadjusted basis, the Index saw a 6 percent increase compared to the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased by 4 percent from the previous week and was 30 percent lower than the same week last year. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index dropped by 5 percent from the previous week, while the unadjusted Purchase Index increased by 6 percent compared to the previous week but remained 22 percent lower than the same week last year.

The U.S. economy continues its downward spiral, leaving many Americans dissatisfied. Inflation is soaring, the cost of living is rising, the housing bubble is bursting, and the commercial real estate market is in disarray. While the Biden administration touts a low unemployment rate of less than 4 percent, the reality is much different. The Bureau of Labor Statistics classifies unemployed individuals as those actively seeking work, leaving only 6.097 million Americans in that category. Shockingly, 99.800 million working-age Americans are considered "not in the labor force," resulting in a total of 105.897 million unemployed individuals. This surpasses the numbers seen during the Great Recession. The government's claims of low unemployment are misleading, with the real rate estimated to be around 25 percent by John Williams.