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J.P. Morgan's experts foresee a year of divergence in 2025, with U.S. interest rates staying elevated while Europe and emerging markets ease policies. Key themes include resilient U.S. growth driven by fiscal and trade policies, a strong dollar, and polarized performance across asset classes and regions. Commodities are expected to stabilize, with bullish trends in metals and bearish forecasts for oil, while geopolitical uncertainties and inflation remain critical risks to watch.
China’s Gold Rush: Imports Soar to Seven-Month High, Shaking Global MarketsDec 31, 2024 - 10:20:10 EST
China’s net gold imports via Hong Kong surged 115% in November to 33.074 metric tons, the highest in seven months, driven by renewed central bank purchases and rising consumer demand ahead of the Lunar New Year. This jump highlights China’s influence on global gold markets, with spot gold up 27% this year despite recent volatility. Imports via other channels like Shanghai suggest even higher overall demand.
Wall Street analysts and strategists are showing remarkable unanimity in their optimistic outlook for 2025, with virtually no major institutions predicting significant market downturns. This unusual consensus is raising contrarian red flags, as historically such widespread agreement often precedes major market turns. The analysis examines various bullish predictions from major banks and highlights potential risks being overlooked.
The Federal Reserve finds itself at a crucial crossroads heading into 2025, facing two potentially problematic options: either accept higher inflation levels above target or risk triggering a recession through continued tight monetary policy. The central bank's decision-making process is being complicated by sticky inflation metrics and mixed economic signals, creating uncertainty in markets.
Analysts are warning of a potential 10-15% stock market correction in 2025, citing various risk factors including overvaluation, potential monetary policy shifts, and geopolitical tensions. The correction could be triggered by unexpected policy changes or economic developments that markets haven't fully priced in.
Chinese state-sponsored hackers have reportedly compromised a key security system at the US Treasury, gaining access to sensitive cloud-based services. The breach involved sophisticated techniques to obtain security keys from a third-party vendor. This incident highlights growing concerns about cyber security vulnerabilities in critical financial infrastructure.
Gold's impressive 27% gain in 2024 sets the stage for an intriguing start to 2025. While January has historically been gold's strongest month, recent years have seen a shift in this pattern. The metal faces headwinds from a hawkish Fed stance and a strong dollar, but potential support comes from ongoing Chinese demand and technical resilience. As markets resume normal trading, gold's ability to maintain its position above the 100-day moving average could be crucial in determining whether it follows its traditional January uptrend.
Bloomberg reports the son of a top Iranian advisor has built a vast business network spanning from London to Singapore, using acquired citizenship to navigate Western financial systems. His empire manages strategic oil and arms transactions for Iran and Russia while maintaining relationships with major global financial institutions
Gold has emerged as a standout performer in 2024, boasting a 28.7% year-to-date return and narrowly outpacing the S&P 500's 26.6% gain. This impressive rally follows a modest 9% increase between 2021 and 2023, marking a significant turnaround for the precious metal. The article explores factors influencing gold prices, its role in diversified portfolios, and various investment options, while also comparing gold's performance to the S&P 500 across different currencies and time frames.
COMPANIES DITCH GREEN HYDROGEN PROJECTS AS COSTS SURGE HIGHER: Who Saw This One Coming... LOLDecember 30, 2024
Unfortunately, the Green Energy Hits just keep on coming. The notion that Green Hydrogen would help meet "Net Zero Goals" has come with a pretty high price tag... one that costs more than an arm, leg, and left foot...
Gold Mining's Hidden Crisis: Production Costs Climb Despite Record PricesDec 27, 2024 - 15:27:17 EST
Mining costs are rising faster than gold prices. The World Gold Council warns of major challenges ahead. Here's what you need to know...
Bitcoin and gold often get compared, but are they really competitors—or complementary parts of a balanced portfolio?
U.S. PEAK OIL DEBATE CONTINUES: Why Do Goehring & Rozencwajg Analysts Say Peak Already Occurred While SRSrocco Sees It...December 26, 2024
According to Goehring & Rozencwajg recently released "The Depletion Paradox" article, they believe U.S. shale oil and gas production peaked last year. However, I see it differently and have provided my fundamental analysis of why I believe the U.S. shale oil and gas peak is still in front of us...
In this eye-opening discussion, Mike Maloney and Alan Hibbard unveil the key data points that have signaled every modern recession without fail.
WOW... ANOTHER RECORD SOLAR SILVER DEMAND IN 2024: As Annual Deficits Continue, Get Prepared For Much Higher PricesDecember 23, 2024
I was surprised by the new record in Global Solar Capacity additions in 2024, especially in China. Solar PV demand this year will consume more than 200 million oz of silver. Interestingly, several countries like Saudi Arabia are just beginning to ramp up their solar capacity...
STOCK MARKET BUBBLE UPDATE DEC 21st: Huge Inflows In GLD & SLV On Friday, So What's Next For Gold & SilverDecember 21, 2024
The Quick Market-meltdown after last week's FOMC meeting was just a preview for much WORSE to come, likely in 2025. The market is totally unprepared for a fast and severe market correction. However, on Friday, we saw huge net inflows into the GLD and SLV ETFs...
Fed's hawkish stance, government shutdown concerns, and Saxo Bank's bullish silver outlook shape this week's precious metals landscape.
In this insightful discussion, Alan Hibbard of GoldSilver.com and Kurt Nelson of SummerHaven Investment Management share why 2025 might be a pivotal
A last-minute intervention by Donald Trump and Elon Musk has upended Congressional efforts to avoid a government shutdown. Using social media, they rallied opposition to a bipartisan spending deal, forcing House Speaker Mike Johnson to reconsider the proposal. The episode highlights Musk's growing political influence and previews potential challenges for the incoming Trump administration.
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points to a range of 4.25% to 4.5%, marking its third consecutive rate reduction in 2024. However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a more cautious approach to future cuts, indicating fewer reductions in 2025. This announcement led to a market reaction, with stock prices falling and Treasury yields surging. The Fed's decision reflects its ongoing efforts to balance economic growth with inflation control.