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As mentioned in our Weekend Metals & Update, I planned to put out a Trade Trigger Update for the energy stocks.  I also mentioned we had gone short Continental Resources (CLR) early last week, and now we have added ConocoPhillips (COP) to our short trade positions.  I have to WARN; this is HIGHLY SPECULATIVE on our part...
This is a must-watch video on Global Oil Production & Price Inflation.  Not only has peak oil production impacted the price, so has the Falling EROI.  When the oil price rises, it thunders throughout the market and economy.  Also, I show how the Money Supply had "Nothing" to do with the massive 1970's inflation...
    The Silver Eruption
Oct 18, 2021 - 12:54:58 PDT
Those currently holding silver make up such a tiny percentage of the investment world – way, way less than a fraction of one percent of total world financial assets – that when the silver bull really gets rolling, there will be ten times as many more new investors looking to buy than old investors looking to sell. So, all that’s missing for the silver price juggernaut to get rolling is some much smaller price pop to get the train in motion.
Lyn Alden run an investment research service for both retail and institutional investors at LynAlden.com. Her focus is on fundamental investing with a global macro overlay, with a specialization in currency differentials and equity valuations.
The debate continues but not much has been said that clarifies the issue for ordinary investors. What follows in this article should help.
    Additional Consequences of Monetary Inflation
Oct 18, 2021 - 12:44:57 PDT
We now turn to the wider consequences of earlier and current monetary inflation, which must not be confused with the original application of the stagflation term. Stagflation suggests a less serious inflationary problem than the dangerous potential for a hyperinflation of prices.
Guggenheim Partners Chief Investment Officer Scott Minerd says markets are becoming “addicted” to central bank stimulus. He speaks at the Milken Institute’s 2021 Global Conference. (Source: Bloomberg)
Longtime activist investor Carl Icahn said Monday that U.S. markets could see challenges over the long term in the face of easy money and rising inflation.
Government bureaucrats have accomplished what Central Bankers have failed to do. For decades, Central Banks have attempted to “create inflation.” They’ve cut interest rates over 800 times. They’ve printed over $20 TRILLION in new money. They’ve even tried buying every asset you can name (corporate bonds, municipal bonds, student loans, auto loans, Treasuries, Mortgage-Backed Securities, etc.).
    The Wealth Is In The Denominator: Hussman
Oct 18, 2021 - 11:29:29 PDT
This is the longest period of practically uninterrupted rise in security prices in our history. The rise was more rapid than has ever been seen, and its speculative attraction influenced a larger part of the public than ever before. The psychological illusion upon which it was based, though not essentially new, has been stronger and more widespread than has ever been the case in this country in the past.
The Treasury yield curve flattened sharply Monday as surging energy prices stoked inflation fears and added fuel to growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will have to lift policy rates as soon as next year.
Everyday Americans will ultimately pay the price for the federal government’s recklessness. Here are 4 charts that show just how fast the federal government is approaching budgetary disaster—and how Biden's plans would make this even worse.
In their bid to remake the world, Democrats are always surprised to find that their best laid plans are full of unintended consequences.
    Software Ate the World and Now Has Indigestion
Oct 18, 2021 - 11:00:09 PDT
As for all those automated systems we have to navigate--do any of them work so well that those profiting from them actually use them? Of course not.
It used to be that capacity utilization was a signal for The Federal Reserve to raise or lower their key target rate. When capacity utilization rose above 80%, the economy was deemed to getting “hot” and The Fed would raise rates. And vice-versa.
Of course, The Fed dumping in trillions into a bottlenecked housing market is helping to fuel the flipper fire.
Let's discuss the inflationary and deflationary impacts of the ongoing baby bust accelerated by Covid.
With leaked trades in their personal accounts already costing two Fed presidents their jobs, and a third - vice chair Richard Clarida - currently on the ropes amid speculation he will soon follow, a few weeks ago we joked that if forces within the Fed want to get rid of all the hawks, they should just leak Esther George's - the Fed's last remaining uberhawk - trading record.
    Investors Rush to Buy Nearly 1 in 4 Homes
Oct 18, 2021 - 08:51:48 PDT
Large investors (those who retain 100 or more properties) are largely responsible for this rise. Of all investor purchases made in June 2021, 20% were made by large investors.
    Why Interventionist Governments Love Inflation
Oct 18, 2021 - 08:07:34 PDT
No government looking to massively expand its size in the economy and monetize a soaring deficit is going to act against rising prices, despite claiming the opposite.